PILLAR 02 · MARKET PULSE Interview EP 106

Decoding the 2026 Ontario Real Estate Market with Bruno Valko

with Bruno Valko , Vice President of National Sales , RMG Mortgages
Play: Decoding the 2026 Ontario Real Estate Market with Bruno Valko
LISTEN ON ▶ YouTube
48 min · June 8, 2026 · 11 views
WHAT YOU'LL LEARN
  1. How global oil shocks and the Strait of Hormuz affect your monthly budget.
  2. The impact of recent job losses on the Canadian economy and GDP.
  3. Why lower average home prices in Ontario might actually improve affordability.
  4. How to prepare for the 2026 mortgage renewal cliff.
  5. The relationship between US Fed rate decisions and the Bank of Canada.
  6. A framework for deciding between fixed and variable mortgage rates.
Show Notes
Timestamps 6
Questions Answered 3
Mentioned In This Episode 2
Are you sitting on the sidelines waiting for the "perfect" time to buy in Ontario? In this episode, Dalia Barsoum sits down with Bruno Valko, Vice President of National Sales at RMG Mortgages, to cut through the media noise and look at the actual economic data. From the impact of global oil shocks to recent job losses, we explore how these macro factors are shaping the real estate landscape.



We dive deep into the math of affordability, comparing today's lower purchase prices against current interest rates. Whether you are a first-time buyer or a homeowner facing the 2026 mortgage renewal cliff, this conversation provides the framework you need to make informed, strategic decisions for your financial future.
Is it a good time to buy a home in Ontario right now?

While headlines may be negative, average home prices in Ontario are approximately $100,000 lower than their 2021 peak. This lower purchase price can offset higher interest rates by reducing the required down payment and total mortgage amount.

How do oil prices affect my mortgage and inflation?

Geopolitical tensions, such as those in the Strait of Hormuz, can cause oil supply issues and price spikes. This creates inflationary pressure, which the Bank of Canada monitors closely when making interest rate decisions.

What should I do if my mortgage is renewing in 2026?

You should not simply sign the renewal papers sent by your bank. Instead, treat the renewal as an opportunity to restructure your debt and proactively develop a strategy to manage your monthly payments.

  • CME FedWatch Tool
  • Streetwise Wealth Vault
Where do you start?